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51 physicists develop free covid-19 analysis website to compare the number of cases and deaths by country
FRANKFURT. There is no lack of data on
global corona developments. But if you want to actively compare countries
yourself and relate case and death figures across countries, you can now get a
quick overview with just a few clicks – and gain surprising insights in the
process.
The new web service “Goethe Interactive
Covid-19 Analyzer“ which Fabian Schubert in the working group for the theory of
complex systems at the Institute for Theoretical Physics developed alongside
his dissertation is simple to use: go to the “Goethe Interactive Covid-19
Analyzer” website, click on the countries and number of cases in questions, and
drag the curves over each other. Congruent? The answer is immediately visible.
In the same way – depending on the individual question - the daily number of
cases or deaths, or the total number of infected or deceased individuals can be
compared. The underlying data for countries from “A” as in Afghanistan through
“Z” as in Zimbabwe is provided by the known covid-19 databases of the European Centre
for Disease Control” and the “.”
“Our interactive tool allows researchers,
journalists and other interested parties to quickly gain an overview of
outbreak developments,” explains Professor Claudius Gros, who studies the modelling
of covid-19 outbreaks himself at the Institute for Theoretical Physics, and who
as Schubert’s doctoral advisor encouraged him to develop the service tool.
Those who use the tool may also discover relationships that provide inspiration
for additional research on epidemic processes.
Gros, for example, was surprised that the
scaled trajectory curves of the case numbers from Germany and Spain “are almost
identical, although the two countries pursued significantly different lockdown
measures.” There are also interesting clues regarding the unexplained issue of
the number of unrecorded cases of corona infections. For Italy, the scaled
curve of covid-19 infections corresponds to the curve of corona deaths if the
daily case numbers are applied to the total numbers of the sick or the
deceased. “This indicates that the unrecorded case numbers may not have changed
significantly over the course of the outbreak – even though testing increased.”
The “Goethe Interactive Covid-19 Analyzer”
from the Institute for Theoretical Physics offers numerous options for combining
data per mouse click. “The page has only been live for a couple of days,” says Gros. It therefore remains to be seen
how many researchers and other interested parties will use the new analytical
tool. The first scientists have already indicated interest, however. And the theoretical
physicist is certain: “The website is certainly useful for the final papers and
doctoral dissertations on covid-19 that will soon be written. And also for
secondary school students who want to present a paper on corona.”
The new analytic tool is hosted on the
webserver of the Institute for
Theoretical Physics, which is also providing the necessary technical support.
Website: Goethe Interactive Covid-19 Analyzer:
Publication: Claudius Gros, Roser Valenti, Kilian Valenti, Daniel Gros, Strategies
for controlling the medical and socio-economic costs of the Corona pandemic (2020);
Further information: Prof. Dr. Claudius Gros, Institut für Theoretische Physik, Campus Riedberg, E-Mail gros07@itp.uni-frankfurt.de